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"If enacted, this would be the largest transfer of wealth from the poor to the rich in a single law in U.S. history."
The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said Tuesday that the Republican legislation speeding through the U.S. House of Representatives would cut household resources for the bottom 10% of Americans while delivering gains to the wealthiest in the form of tax breaks.
"If enacted, this would be the largest transfer of wealth from the poor to the rich in a single law in U.S. history," Bobby Kogan, senior director of federal budget policy at the Center for American Progress, said in response to the CBO analysis, which was released shortly before the start of a dead-of-night House Rules Committee hearing on the Republican reconciliation package.
On average, according to the CBO, U.S. households would "see an increase in the resources provided to them by the government over the 2026–2034 period."
But the resources "would not be evenly distributed among households," the CBO found, estimating that "in general, resources would decrease for households in the lowest decile (tenth) of the income distribution, whereas resources would increase for households in the highest decile."
"This is what Republicans are fighting for—lining the pockets of their billionaire donors while children go hungry and families get kicked off their healthcare."
The analysis takes into account an extension of soon-to-expire provisions of the 2017 Trump-GOP tax cuts as well as Republicans' push for around $1 trillion in combined cuts to Medicaid and the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), which would primarily harm low-income Americans.
"The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office's unprecedented analysis has confirmed what Democrats have known to be true—the GOP Tax Scam will hurt working families the most while delivering massive tax breaks for billionaires like Elon Musk," said House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.), who joined Rep. Brendan Boyle (D-Pa.) in requesting the distributional analysis.
"Any claims otherwise are intentionally deceptive regarding the Republican plans to rip healthcare away from nearly 14 million Americans and take food out of the mouths of millions of people, including children and seniors," said Jeffries. "Republicans are attempting to quickly jam this unpopular legislation through the House because they know that the longer they wait, the more will come to light about this cruel and unconscionable bill. For a party that claims to be for the working class, this analysis indicates the opposite."
Boyle, the ranking member of the House Budget Committee, said that "this is what Republicans are fighting for—lining the pockets of their billionaire donors while children go hungry and families get kicked off their healthcare."
"CBO's nonpartisan analysis makes it crystal clear: [President] Donald Trump and House Republicans are selling out the middle class to make the ultra-rich even richer. Every word out of Trump's mouth about helping working Americans was a lie."
The CBO also said Tuesday that the Republican reconciliation package, which Trump has championed, would trigger automatic cuts to Medicare spending—reductions that the nonpartisan body did not factor into its distributional analysis.
The CBO's analysis also did not include the impact of a tentative deal to boost the cap on state and local tax deductions (SALT), a change that would primarily benefit wealthy households.
"This reported SALT deal and accelerated Medicaid cuts would make the bill even more effective at transferring resources from low-income to high-income households," said Brendan Duke of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, referring to GOP hardliners' push for an earlier start date for Medicaid work requirements, which experts have decried as cruel and ineffective.
"They have such contempt for the American people," said Democratic Rep. Jim McGovern.
House Republicans are set to take the next step toward passage of their sprawling reconciliation bill at a Wednesday hearing scheduled to begin while most Americans are fast asleep.
The GOP-controlled House Rules Committee will convene at 1 am ET Wednesday morning to consider the legislation and recent changes pushed by Republican hardliners, who are demanding even more aggressive cuts to Medicaid and green energy programs.
Specifically, a faction of far-right Republicans led by Rep. Chip Roy of Texas wants the bill's proposed work requirements for Medicaid recipients to take effect earlier than the originally proposed 2029 start date. House Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R-La.) said Tuesday that Republicans had settled on "early 2027" as a new start date.
While the House Rules Committee has not responded to reporters' questions about the timing of Wednesday's hearing, critics said it appears to be an attempt to avoid the kinds of protests and public scrutiny that daytime meetings have attracted.
Rep. Jim McGovern (D-Mass.), the ranking member of the rules panel, blasted his Republican colleagues over the dead-of-night hearing time, writing on social media that "they have such contempt for the American people."
"If Donald Trump's big beautiful tax break for billionaires is so great... why not pass it in primetime?" McGovern asked. "Why jam it through in the middle of the night? What don't they want you to know?"
Rep. Debbie Dingell (D-Mich.) added that "if you think you are doing what is right for the American people, you don't consider it in the dead of night."
"This bill doesn't just cut Medicaid, it guts Medicaid, and it will cause millions of eligible people in House districts across the country to lose access to the Medicaid benefits they need."
The GOP reconciliation package, a centerpiece of President Donald Trump's legislative agenda, would slash Medicaid and federal nutrition assistance by more than a trillion dollars combined over the next decade—cuts that would help offset the cost of massive tax breaks for rich Americans.
The spending cuts, which would be achieved in part through draconian and ineffective work requirements, would strip healthcare coverage and food aid from millions of Americans and potentially devastate rural hospitals, farmers, and local economies.
"Instead of listening to the millions of Americans clogging their phone lines and showing up at townhalls, or even those in their own party warning against severe cuts to Medicaid, House Republicans are making bigger cuts and terminating people's healthcare coverage even faster," said Anthony Wright, executive director of Families USA.
"This bill doesn't just cut Medicaid, it guts Medicaid, and it will cause millions of eligible people in House districts across the country to lose access to the Medicaid benefits they need," Wright said. "When will we hear from those members?"
Later Wednesday morning, Medicaid recipients from across the country—including districts represented by House Republicans—are set to gather on Capitol Hill to protest the GOP legislation.
"Upon arrival on May 21, they will hold a press conference, demand face-to-face meetings, deliver petitions signed by thousands of constituents urging GOP decisionmakers to change course, and take direct action in order to be heard," the People's Action Institute and Popular Democracy said Tuesday.
"The plan to eviscerate Medicaid and other programs in order to siphon public dollars into the pockets of billionaires who already pay less in taxes than working families is universally unpopular," they added.
"It must be defeated," Sen. Bernie Sanders said of the Republican legislation.
U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders is deploying organizers to key congressional districts across the country this week in an effort to mobilize opposition against the Republican Party's emerging reconciliation package, which includes massive, unpopular cuts to safety net programs and inequality-fueling tax giveaways to the richest Americans.
Late Monday, after Republicans unveiled critical sections of their budget measure, Sanders (I-Vt.) announced a week of action aimed at "pressuring vulnerable Republicans to vote against the bill."
Organizers hired by Sanders in recent months "will fan out across the country this week, targeting 15 Republican-held districts" in Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona, and other states, the senator said.
Each of the districts was a stop on Sanders' recent "Fighting Oligarchy" tour, which drew large, energetic crowds even in areas typically seen as Republican strongholds. According to the senator's team, roughly a third of the more than 265,000 rally attendees were not registered Democrats.
The week of action kicked off with an organizing call led by Sanders, according to an announcement, with canvassing, days of action, and rallies being organized in at least eight states.
The senator's team provided a look at some of the material organizers plan to distribute during their actions. The literature urges constituents to call their representatives and urge them to vote no "on a bill to cut Medicaid, nutrition assistance, and education to pay for hundreds of billions of dollars in more tax breaks for billionaires."
One of the lawmakers targeted is Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.), who said last month that he would not accept more than $500 billion in Medicaid cuts over a 10-year period.
The Republican proposal includes more than $700 billion in cuts to Medicaid and would likely throw more than 8 million people off the program, according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.
Sanders said the following Republican lawmakers will also be targeted as part of the swing-district pressure campaign against the reconciliation package:
News of the actions came as Republicans on key committees prepared Tuesday for several markup hearings on their reconciliation proposals, which include around a trillion dollars in combined cuts to Medicaid and the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) as well as major tax breaks for the wealthy and large corporations.
The American Prospect's David Dayen reported last week that House Republicans deliberately scheduled the Energy and Commerce, Ways and Means, and Agriculture Committee markup hearings on the same day "to make it hard for the opposition to focus."
In a social media post on Monday, Sanders highlighted the GOP bill's proposed cuts to Medicaid and SNAP and declared, "It must be defeated."
Sanders is also working to harness the energy of his "Fighting Oligarchy" tour to recruit progressive candidates for office. Politicoreported earlier this month that "the Vermont senator is teaming up with the liberal group Run for Something and other outside organizations to provide support to potential candidates."
"We want to make sure that we're not just going into these spaces and holding rallies and disappearing, and we’re not just asking people to run for office," Jeremy Slevin, a top Sanders adviser, told the outlet. "We're giving them the tools they need to actually do it."